Numerical Modeling as a Tool to Predict Pillar Condition and Assist in Mining Sequencing

Using 3D numerical modeling as a tool to predict rock behavior during mining extraction is still an uncommon practice at many underground operations. This paper will discuss how 3D numerical models were used to identify potential underground instability problems in the later stages of mining. Detailed modeling was then used to make modifications to the mine design in order to minimize the impact of the potential instability problems. This paper will also discusses how the back analysis of a previous underground collapse event at the same mine in a room and pillar area was used to identify the instability problems for a new orebody being developed deeper in the mine. A 3D numerical model was first created in the MAP3D software to determine the conditions of the pillars and the magnitude of the vertical displacement above the mining zone prior to the underground collapse. The results from the ground collapse model were then used as a threshold limit for predicting potential instabilities and developing a model for the new mining zone. sing the results from this analysis, mine management has been able to implement a much higher percentage recovery of the reserve in a new, high-grade area of the orebody while minimizing potential instabilities in the future.