Accident Prediction Techniques

Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration
Kirk L. Prather
Organization:
Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration
Pages:
14
File Size:
506 KB
Publication Date:
Jan 1, 1973

Abstract

Why discuss techniques of accident prod lot on? Would it not be more useful to discuss means to reduce accidents? This discussion will answer these questions by suggesting ways in which effective accident prediction techniques improve the ability to foresee and prevent accidents. Accident Prediction Process The secret to accident prediction is to utilize the tendency for history to repeat itself. The same circumstances and the same human behavior that produced accidents in the past tend to produce accidents in the present and the future. The ability to predict accident occurence in the future by projecting from the past is a statistical process. In a bookmaker's jargon this means "playing the odds" or "the percentages". A horse or a sports team may be beaten on any given day, but by skillfully assessing the factors of past performance and assigning odds, many clever bettors make money in the long run.
Citation

APA: Kirk L. Prather  (1973)  Accident Prediction Techniques

MLA: Kirk L. Prather Accident Prediction Techniques. Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration, 1973.

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