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|There has been a persistent need to forecast roof falls so that miner's exposure to hazardous underground environments can be minimized. Several monitoring techniques have been developed and are used today with varying levels of acceptance in the mining industry. This paper examines the potential for monitoring microseismic emissions activity as a means of forecasting roof falls. The use of this activity to forecast roof falls has drawn only limited attention, resulting in a lack of published field performance data. This deficiency is being partially addressed by analyzing data obtained during longwall mining at Moonee Colliery in 1998. The Moonee data base contains a wealth of information concerning roof fall forecast parameters and the seismic alarm criteria used to develop these forecasts. Four seismic alarm criteria were developed and used by Moonee with varying degrees of success. Roof falls were forecasted 73% of the time with average forecast times of 54 minutes. Ninety percent of the predicted roof falls had a warning time, i.e., the time between warning and roof fall event, of greater than 1 minute. The fraction of forecasted roof falls decayed logarithmically as a function of warning time, until only 20% of events were predicted more than 100 minutes prior to roof falls. False alarms occurred in 50% of the warnings. Many of the false alarms were quickly followed by a cessation in mining which could have temporarily halted the on-going failure process. If mining had continued immediately after the false alarms, a roof fall may have occurred soon after. The microseismic activity collected .from Moonee Colliery demonstrates that techniques to forecast roof rock instabilities in underground mines are possible.|
Additional chapters/articles from the SME-ICGCM book 24th International Conference on Ground Control in Mining (ICGCM) 24th
|Keynote Address at the 23rd International Conference on Grou||Analysis and Design of Rib Support (ADRS) a Rib Support Desi||Evaluation of the Impact of Standing Support on Ground Behav||Half a Career Trying to Understand Why the Roof Along the Lo||Forecasting Roof Falls with Monitoring Technologies - A Look||Analysis of Seismic Source Parameters of Roof Falls in Time||A System to Provide Early Warning on Impending Goaf||Outcomes of the Landmark Longwall Automation Project with Re||Application of Phenolic Foam in Longwall Mining||Multiple Seam Mining Interactions: Case Histories from the H||Analysis of Entry Stability Associated with Multi-seam Minin||Failure Mechanics of Multiple Seam Mining Interactions||Engineering Classification of Ultra-close Multiple Seam Roof||Definition of Ultra-close Multiple-seams and its Ground Pres||Depillaring and Roof Bolting Practices at Quinsam Coal Mine||Seam Structure - An Important Criterion for Coal Pillar Desi||Mitigating Longwall Subsidence Effects on a Large Industrial||Impacts of Longwall Mining on Hydrology, Soil Moisture, and||Basics on the Dimensioning and the Extraction of Shaft Safet||Modeling the Arc-effect of a Coal Mine Roof||Recent Advances in Numerical Simulation of Cutter Roof Failu||Test Method for Assessing Water Degradation Potential of Coa||Geotechnical Strata Characterisation Using Geophysical Boreh||A Method for Quantitative Void/Fracture Detection and Estima||Implication of Highly Anisotropic Horizontal Stresses on Ent||Ground Control of a Mine Stope in Weak Rocks Subjected to Hi||Analysis of Highwall Mining Stability - The Effect of Multip||Highwall Mining in a Multiple-seam, Western United States Se||The Slope Stability Assessment in the Wall Overlooking the S||Numerical Modeling as a Tool to Predict Pillar Condition and||Development and Testing of a New Roof Prop||Stability Mapping System||Using Foaming Grout to Stabilize a Ventilation Raise in Very||Roof Control and Roadway Support Design in the #9 Coal Seam,||Non-confirmation Mathematics for Wall Rock Classification fo||The Influence of the First Layer Thickness of Immediate Roof||Studies on Distribution Pattern of and Methane Migration Mec||Development of a New Roof Bolt Technology to Improve Gate- R||Improved Pull out Strength of Fully Grouted Roof Bolts throu||Experimental and Numerical Methodology Assessment of Load Tr||An Investigation into the Support Systems in South African C||Investigation of Fully Grouted Roof Bolts Installed Under In||Development of the Laboratory Short Encapsulation Pull Test||A Resin Quality Testing Procedure for Collieries||Determination of Load Transfer Characteristics of Gloved Res||Fully Grouted Torque Tension Bolts Successfully Support Pitt||Shear Bond Characteristics in Grouted Cable Bolts||Overcoring Techniques to Assess in Situ Corrosion of Galvani||Development of a Laboratory Facility for Testing Shear Perfo||Mechanical Response of Split-Set Rock Bolts in Squeezing Gro||Mechanisms of Rib Sloughing and Methods of Controlling Thick||Supporting Method of the Bolted Strata in Large Deformation||Assessment of Ground Conditions Near a Mine Portal Using Gro||Detection of Abandoned Mines and Air Passages/Burning Center||Detecting Abandoned Coal Mine Entries by High Resolution Ear|