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The challenge of planning to minimize interaction effects in multi-seam mining is compounded by the difficulties inherent in extrapolating essential geological and spatial data between sampling points. To predict the effects of ultra-close mining on lower seam entry stability, simulated mine openings were studied using finite element analysis and body loaded photoelastic models. Both symmetrical and unsymmetrical loading was used to represent stress fields generated under multi-seam conditions. Results were correlated with field data to determine stress levels at which failure could be expected to occur. Stability predictions require precise definitions of geologic and spatial data, which could not be accurately defined by interpolation between sampling points. To overcome this problem an expanded roof stability model, SESAME2, was developed to incorporate reliability concepts based on Monte Carlo sampling. The model was demonstrated in terms of variations of innerburden thickness using a case study. |